Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.002774 0.002974 0.003190 0.003442 0.003731 0.004055 0.004448
2024-10-06 0.002531 0.002811 0.003133 0.003538 0.004044 0.004668 0.005521
2024-10-13 0.002303 0.002620 0.003001 0.003507 0.004181 0.005083 0.006456
2024-10-20 0.002084 0.002407 0.002808 0.003360 0.004130 0.005226 0.007045
2024-10-27 0.001965 0.002304 0.002736 0.003352 0.004256 0.005630 0.008151
2024-11-03 0.001786 0.002108 0.002523 0.003124 0.004026 0.005443 0.008176
2024-11-10 0.001729 0.002064 0.002507 0.003169 0.004205 0.005939 0.009667
2024-11-17 0.001688 0.002039 0.002512 0.003241 0.004434 0.006572 0.011796
2024-11-24 0.001622 0.001973 0.002455 0.003212 0.004490 0.006897 0.013406
2024-12-01 0.001596 0.001961 0.002472 0.003298 0.004753 0.007705 0.017120
2024-12-08 0.001545 0.001911 0.002429 0.003281 0.004829 0.008136 0.020141
2024-12-15 0.001482 0.001840 0.002351 0.003202 0.004776 0.008251 0.022083
2024-12-22 0.001460 0.001830 0.002368 0.003290 0.005076 0.009394 0.032160
2024-12-29 0.001438 0.001818 0.002382 0.003376 0.005398 0.010794 0.053264
2025-01-05 0.001391 0.001768 0.002334 0.003346 0.005467 0.011493 0.077983
2025-01-12 0.001326 0.001687 0.002231 0.003210 0.005276 0.011254 0.085350
2025-01-19 0.001292 0.001653 0.002201 0.003203 0.005382 0.012133 0.158950
2025-01-26 0.001219 0.001556 0.002066 0.002992 0.004981 0.010965 0.110259
2025-02-02 0.001201 0.001542 0.002065 0.003033 0.005189 0.012262 0.350638
2025-02-09 0.001189 0.001537 0.002077 0.003100 0.005474 0.014146 NaN
2025-02-16 0.001161 0.001505 0.002043 0.003074 0.005515 0.014965 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001153 0.001504 0.002062 0.003153 0.005857 0.017795 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001129 0.001478 0.002035 0.003137 0.005934 0.019204 NaN